Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
172 North Dakota 100.0%   15   19 - 9 14 - 4 19 - 9 14 - 4 -0.2      -1.2 198 +1.0 140 73.7 50 +0.5 149 +0.6 1
184 Weber St. 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 -0.9      +2.8 91 -3.8 281 64.2 264 -1.7 196 -1.1 3
186 Eastern Washington 0.0%   20 - 11 13 - 5 20 - 11 13 - 5 -1.0      +2.4 102 -3.5 266 65.9 225 +0.5 150 -0.4 2
198 Montana 0.0%   16 - 16 11 - 7 16 - 16 11 - 7 -2.1      +0.8 149 -2.9 252 65.2 245 -3.5 218 -3.1 6
221 Idaho 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 6 16 - 13 12 - 6 -3.8      -2.0 221 -1.8 225 64.3 261 -2.7 210 -1.7 4
243 Montana St. 0.0%   14 - 16 11 - 7 14 - 16 11 - 7 -4.9      -1.2 197 -3.8 279 70.0 112 -5.4 246 -2.7 5
250 Portland St. 0.0%   12 - 16 7 - 11 12 - 16 7 - 11 -5.3      -0.3 175 -5.0 302 76.0 28 -6.4 259 -9.1 8
283 Sacramento St. 0.0%   11 - 18 9 - 9 11 - 18 9 - 9 -7.7      -1.8 218 -5.9 316 62.5 301 -7.2 272 -5.8 7
284 Northern Colorado 0.0%   9 - 18 7 - 11 9 - 18 7 - 11 -7.7      -6.2 319 -1.6 214 69.5 123 -8.5 294 -9.2 9
323 Northern Arizona 0.0%   8 - 23 6 - 12 8 - 23 6 - 12 -10.8      -6.8 327 -4.0 286 70.8 100 -10.9 321 -9.8 10
332 Idaho St. 0.0%   4 - 26 3 - 15 4 - 26 3 - 15 -12.9      -4.5 283 -8.5 339 68.7 146 -14.5 336 -14.3 11
334 Southern Utah 0.0%   4 - 27 3 - 15 4 - 27 3 - 15 -13.3      -2.4 232 -10.9 349 74.2 47 -15.0 339 -14.8 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
North Dakota 1.0 100.0
Weber St. 3.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 2.0 100.0
Montana 5.0 100.0
Idaho 3.0 100.0
Montana St. 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 8.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 7.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 8.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0
Idaho St. 11.0 100.0
Southern Utah 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
North Dakota 14 - 4 100.0
Weber St. 12 - 6 100.0
Eastern Washington 13 - 5 100.0
Montana 11 - 7 100.0
Idaho 12 - 6 100.0
Montana St. 11 - 7 100.0
Portland St. 7 - 11 100.0
Sacramento St. 9 - 9 100.0
Northern Colorado 7 - 11 100.0
Northern Arizona 6 - 12 100.0
Idaho St. 3 - 15 100.0
Southern Utah 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota 100.0% 100.0
Weber St.
Eastern Washington
Montana
Idaho
Montana St.
Portland St.
Sacramento St.
Northern Colorado
Northern Arizona
Idaho St.
Southern Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Dakota 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.2 74.4 24.4
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Dakota 100.0% 2.7% 98.9% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.9% 1.0 1.2 98.9
2nd Round 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0